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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
ABERDARE TOWN vs. MERTHYR TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Aberdare Town's and Merthyr Town's ELO scores.
| Aberdare Town | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3503.9 | 2954.1 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3673 Saturday, March 20, 1926 |
3670 Saturday, September 3, 1921 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 3501.5 Tuesday, April 19, 1927 |
2756.2 Saturday, February 19, 2022 |
A summary of all historical matches between Aberdare Town and Merthyr Town.
| Venue | Played | Aberdare Town wins |
Draws | Merthyr Town wins |
Aberdare Town goals |
Merthyr Town goals |
Aberdare Town SR% |
Merthyr Town SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| HOME | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| AWAY | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 MAR 1927 | LGE | Merthyr Town (3535) |
2 - 2 | Aberdare Athletic (3515) |
4 |
| 30 OCT 1926 | LGE | Aberdare Athletic (3563) |
1 - 2 | Merthyr Town (3571) |
13.3 |
| 6 APR 1926 | LGE | Aberdare Athletic (3648) |
0 - 0 | Merthyr Town (3527) |
6 |
| 5 APR 1926 | LGE | Merthyr Town (3527) |
1 - 1 | Aberdare Athletic (3648) |
0 |
| 26 DEC 1924 | LGE | Merthyr Town (3549) |
3 - 1 | Aberdare Athletic (3612) |
12.6 |
| 25 DEC 1924 | LGE | Aberdare Athletic (3604) |
2 - 0 | Merthyr Town (3557) |
8.3 |
| 22 APR 1924 | LGE | Aberdare Athletic (3583) |
0 - 0 | Merthyr Town (3604) |
2.7 |
| 21 APR 1924 | LGE | Merthyr Town (3608) |
0 - 0 | Aberdare Athletic (3580) |
3.9 |
| 26 DEC 1922 | LGE | Merthyr Town (3626) |
0 - 2 | Aberdare Athletic (3543) |
22.7 |
| 25 DEC 1922 | LGE | Aberdare Athletic (3544) |
0 - 0 | Merthyr Town (3625) |
1 |
| 10 APR 1922 | LGE | Aberdare Athletic (3654) |
0 - 0 | Merthyr Town (3631) |
3.8 |
| 28 JAN 1922 | LGE | Merthyr Town (3644) |
0 - 1 | Aberdare Athletic (3637) |
13.3 |